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La Liga Title Race Predictions

We are down to six games left in the season and the La Liga is still up for grabs between and . The May 5th match-up between these two bitter rivals looms large on the horizon as do some other key games.

1. FC Barcelona (81 points, 6 games remaining.)
Barcelona Fixtures: Valencia A, Real Madrid A, H, Mallorca A, Osasuna H, Deportivo A
Requirements: To gain at least 13 points, or 12 while managing a result no worse than a 1-0 loss to Real Madrid in their upcoming head-to-head. Should they lose 2-0 to Real Madrid they must drop no more than six points while retaining a superior goal difference (currently +68 to +40.) Barcelona can win the title on the second last day of the season at home to Osasuna.

2. Real Madrid (75 points, 6 games remaining.)
Real Madrid Fixtures: A, Barcelona H, A, Villarreal A, Mallorca H, Osasuna A
Requirements: To recover a three point deficit whilst either beating Barcelona by two goals and securing a greater goal difference; or by beating Barcelona by more than two goals; or by managing seven points more than Barcelona.

So basically even if Barcelona loses to Real Madrid, if they pick up four more wins (and a tie) then the title is theirs. The only obstacle I see standing in Barcelona’s way, is the upcoming games against . Beating Chelsea is important to Barca and Pep Guardiola and if he decides to rest players ahead of the midweek Champions League games, will it hurt Barcelona in the league?

I don’t think it will as I expect Barcelona to not only qualify for the Champions League final but to beat Real Madrid on May 5th and win the league comfortably.